Ambition & Reality of Emission

Ambition & Reality of Emission

Thomas Hartwig

Published
07/2024 by Thomas Hartwig

The 27th UN Climate Change Conference is currently taking place in Sharm ash-Shaykh, Egypt. Experts and government representatives of the nations that have agreed on the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) are again represented there.  

The Framework Convention is an international environmental agreement with the aim of preventing dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system and slowing down global warming as well as mitigating its consequences. 

The primary goal is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The interim assessments show that the goals already set cannot be achieved as of today. Even Germany is lagging behind the targets and will currently not achieve the necessary goal of 1.5 degrees Celsius and thus climate neutrality by 2035. 

Countries are considered climate neutral if they emit no more than one tonne of #CO2 per inhabitant per year, which can be absorbed by nature. 

Many poor countries achieve this goal. The big climate sinners are the few rich countries. Qatar, for example, emits 32.4 tonnes of CO2 per inhabitant per year, followed by countries like Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. The USA, Canada and Australia emit around 15 tonnes of CO2 per inhabitant per year. The Eurozone is at 6.5 tonnes, China at 7.4. In summary, the richest 10 percent of humanity emit 48 percent of the global CO2. 

All figures are based on assumptions from model considerations and CO2 budgeting. The emission of greenhouse gases cannot be measured meticulously. 

Indications are subject to estimates, which results in further risks. This is clearly illustrated by climatic events and new findings, according to which, for example, the permafrost in parts of the Canadian Arctic has already melted to the extent expected in 2090. The permafrost binds about twice the amount of carbon that is currently in the atmosphere. 

The number of such extreme climatic events is increasing. A reason for all of us to work towards the 1 tonne target.